The Buffalo Sabres finally get a homestand, looking for their third win in-a-row versus the Seattle Kraken. The Sabres are now 17-19-4 with 38 standings points in 40 games. They’re six points out of a wild card spot, with six teams ahead of them to leapfrog.
The Kraken (16-14-9) come to town with 41 points in 39 games, leaving them tied for a wild card spot in the Western Conference but on the outside looking in due to tiebreakers. They’re one of the league’s hottest teams, being undefeated in regulation (8-0-2) in their last 10.
How to Watch
Gametime: 7:00 p.m. ET
Location: KeyBank Center (Buffalo, NY)
TV: MSG (Buffalo); ROOT-NW (Seattle)
Stream: MSG+; ESPN+ (Out-of-market)
Insert the fire emojis here, because the goaltending has been red hot. Both Devon Levi and Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen turned in stellar performances over the last two games, giving the Sabres ample opportunity to turn their fortunes around despite slow starts.
Levi is expected to start tonight, and still has the lead on earning the majority of starts going forward. He’s 5-2-1 over his last nine starts, getting a no-decision after getting pulled in one of those games.
Buffalo’s top line of Jeff Skinner, Tage Thompson, and Alex Tuch has also been hot, with each player at or over a point-per-game pace over the last 10 games. They’ve fueled a huge spike in scoring for the team, and will be leaned on heavily tonight in a tough defensive matchup.
Rolling four forward lines is the Kraken’s forte, as you’ll see a much more even distribution and responsibility on Seattle’s front. Oliver Bjorkstrand is their All-Star representative, but it’s more a death by a thousand papercuts approach from the team.
Old friend William Borgen has been a nice net-positive player for the Kraken, holding down a second-pair role with defensive partner Jamie Oleksiak for the majority of the season. He has a respectable 14 points and is averaging a career-high 17:07 time on-ice in all 39 games for Seattle this season.
- Victor Olofsson (Illness) Day-to-Day
- Jordan Greenway (Illness) Day-to-Day
- Kyle Okposo (Lower Body) Week-to-Week
- Philipp Grubauer (Lower Body) Out [IR]
- Jaden Schwartz (Lower Body) Day-to-Day [IR]
- Pierre-Edouard Bellemare (Leg) Out [IR]
Projected Lines and Pairs
Jeff Skinner – Tage Thompson – Alex Tuch
JJ Peterka – Dylan Cozens – Jack Quinn
Jordan Greenway – Casey Mittelstadt – Zach Benson
Zemgus Girgensons – Peyton Krebs – Eric Robinson
Rasmus Dahlin – Henri Jokiharju
Owen Power – Erik Johnson
Mattias Samuelsson – Connor Clifton
Devon Levi (Confirmed)
Lineup Source: PuckLuck Projected
Goalie Source: Lance Lysowski, The Buffalo News
Tomas Tatar – Matty Beniers – Jordan Eberle
Jaden Schwartz – Alex Wennberg – Brandon Tanev
Eeli Tolvanen – Yanni Gourde – Oliver Bjorkstrand
Tye Kartye – Jared McCann – Andre Burakovsky
Vince Dunn – Adam Larsson
Jamie Oleksiak – William Borgen
Brian Dumoulin – Justin Schultz
Joey Daccord (Projected)
Lineup Source: PuckLuck Projected
Goalie Source: PuckLuck Projected
Betting Odds Breakdown
With Seattle listed as slight road underdogs in the sportsbooks as of Tuesday morning, the edge is clearly on the Kraken tonight. A 57.5% win probability is significant, and considering how hot they’ve been it’s hard to argue against the PuckLuck model’s numbers here.
The data shades towards the under for this game as well, since it’s set at 6.5 goals on the books. The total is getting bet down though, so we may have some line movement later in the day. It’s not a big enough edge as of now, so see how the lines shift later on and refer back to PuckLuck.com for the latest.
For more NHL betting analysis, be sure to head over to PuckLuck.com.
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